Lang factor is 3.1 for solid processing plant and 4.74 for fluids processing plant. Equity financing is accomplished through the sale of stock, also known as equity, in the company. Here is a sample of such a spreadsheet used for a project in India. In: Chemical Engineering Design: Principles, Practice and Economics of Plant and Process Design. GENERAL PROCESS PLANT COST ESTIMATING, Kolmetz Handbook of Process . Because the company is not currently traded, it is difficult to apply many of the quantitative measures to study the effectiveness of the project financing techniques. "Dow Chemical Co. (DOW) Short-term (Operating) Activity Analysis." Specific location factors can be found in the most recent edition of Aspen Richardson's International Construction Cost Factor Location Manual (Costdataonline.com). Below are different working capital turnover ratios for different companies over a 5-year period. N.p. An uncertain event or condition that could affect a project objective or business goal. . The accuracy of these order of magnitude estimates are usually within 50% accuracy. This measure is the expected return for any given cost in a company. Sadara Redefining the Possible. The capital costs associated with purchasing, building, and starting up any chemical plant can be estimated with methods discussed in previous and later sections. Study estimate (factored estimate). It is good practice to include design factors for safety throughout the process. Usually, the above method is used as a preliminary estimate. For example, if water or electricity are being utilized from the main grid, and infrastructure needs to be expanded to accommodate the chemical plant's addition to these systems, these costs are considered OSBL because they are not directly associated with elements between the input and output of the chemical plant. It is required to provide project analysis and evaluation, to select among alternative designs, to plan the appropriation of funds and to. Usually, contingency charges are billed to the parent organization, or of the design is done by a contractor to the contracting organization directly at the start of the project, rather than asking for increased funding mid-project. Capital Cost Estimator - DWSIM - Chemical Process Simulator Cost Estimation Documents for Chemical Process Engineers The two main methods of project financing are debt and equity financing. Any appropriate date may be entered; the CE index entered should correspond to that date; the index must be extrapolated for dates beyond the most recently available value. New York: Halsted Press; 1985. In many cases, an estimator must use considerable judgment in preparing the estimates. Equipment Costs for Plant Design and Economics for Chemical Engineers Cost curves can be used as preliminary estimation of equipment costs if updated cost data is not available. OSBL costs are initially estimated as a percentage of the ISBL costs. OSBL (Outside Battery Limits), or off-site costs, are still an important component of the plant cost, but deals with calculating costs associated with off-site developments that require the plant to run. The discussion of project financing is centered on some quantitative measures that are often used to understand the growth and profitability of a company. Correlations for constants can be found in Towler's Chemical Engineering Design (Towler and Sinnott, 2013). Authors: Alex Chandel [2014] , Eric Jiang [2014] , Minwook Kim [2014] , Todor Kukushliev [2014] , William Lassman [2014] , and Watson Fu [2016], Steward: Daniel Garcia, David Chen, and Fengqi You. The Total Installed Cost estimate was obtained by multiplying the equipment cost (purchase cost) by appropriate factors. The working capital is a distinct cost associated with maintaining operations in a plant (Towler). In these cases, OSBL will be as low as 20% of the ISLB. (3050%) First estimation conducted for screening purposes based on cost of similar processes. Fletcher, Phillip, et al. (5-10%) Incorporation of individual equipment cost. 262 of 365 - THINGS ABOUT COST ESTIMATION FOR CHEMICAL PROCESS ENGINEERS PEOPLE WILL NOT TEACH YOU Chem. If the scope of the project changes, or if the project undergoes "scope creep," it is often easier to add capacity buy purchasing additional utilities from the outside once existing utilities have been constructed. Modular investment cost estimate of multipurpose chemical plant Part II addresses detailed capital cost estimation, which aims to maintain value identified in early-stage estimates and then . 2nd ed. sqv/LMYNt`PYATdX/{ [IPR]E@y
EFI~uK%a%_8XuGD*l}0D,0#0C2ScSop9vvm~ /huD)dRCX?{BS=RFAjjC3S) l=cjpj>Kw[//s8uC:/Mi7+LM)92mcc 5 Feb. 2016. There are two ways to accomplish this: increase annual revenues or decrease working capital. The bonds were sold at an interest rate of 2.95%. The accuracy of this type of estimate will depend on: Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. This involves an initial public offering (IPO) and the beginning of trading of the company's stock on stock exchanges. 0000002816 00000 n
In these cases, the design should be manually entered. The probable accuracy of -25% to +30%. An order-of-magnitude cost estimation is needed for a proposed 1,240-megawatt ("MW") combined cycle power plant, as of January 2013. Definition of terms. 0000000876 00000 n
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In other words, the company is selling ownership interest in order to achieve a certain amount of funds. PDF COST ESTIMATION - University of Oklahoma The return on equity can be used to understand how effectively the company is managed from a fiscal point of view. Plant Design and Economics for Chemical Engineers. 2001, Seo, et al. The authors discuss such topics as initial involvement and plan of action, process design, regulatory compliance, risk analysis, project execution plan/master project schedule, estimating, contracting, detailed engineering, procurement, construction management, project control, contracts administration, communications, and plant start-up. Evaluating Capital Cost Estimation Programs - Chemical Engineering The Chemical Engineering Plant Cost Index After the bond is sold, the company who sold the bond is now in debt to the buyer. As mentioned above, OSBL costs are usually estimated as a percentage of ISBL costs until detailed site information and site layout are available for design. In addition, for companies that have recently been started, many of these quantitative measures may be skewed because of the heavy investment on research and growth. 0000002337 00000 n
Jeferson Costa en LinkedIn: THINGS ABOUT COST ESTIMATION FOR CHEMICAL Equity financing occurs throughout the lifetime of a company. The Lang factor method has a tendency to produce high results. Order of Magnitude estimate. 0000005027 00000 n
It can be thought of as money that is needed to address irregularities in process operation, that may or may not be spent. Equipment Costs for Plant Design and Economics for Chemical Engineers Fuel Value Calculator giving net heating value for natural gas, propane, wood, fuel oil, coal, switchgrass, shelled corn and electricity. 1) Price up your main unit operations, probably using curves of unit price against duty 2) Multiply prices by the CPI (Chemical Price Index) or similar to reflect sector specific inflation since curves were drawn 3) Convert prices obtained to desired currency at today's prices 4) Add together all of the prices 0000006059 00000 n
Sizing of Compressor and Instrument Air Capacity, Cooling Tower Makeup Water Calculation with Example, Inert Gas Purging Requirement Calculation, Natural Gas Line Sizing using General Pressure Drop Equation, How to Calculate Jockey Pump Capacity in Fire Fighting System, Water Treatment Plant Capacity Calculation, The Difference between Pre-feasibility Study and Feasibility Study, How to Calculate NSPH of Pump with Examples and Illustrations, Sizing of Expansion Tank for Hot Oil System, Understanding Flammability Limit and Explosive Limit, Example How to Design Thin-Walled Vessel under Internal Pressure, How to Design Thin-Walled Vessel under Internal Pressure, How to do Projects Economic Evaluation Example on How to Calculate DCFRR, How to Do Projects Economic Evaluation A Simple Example, Conversion Higher Heating Value (HHV) to Lower Heating Value (LHV), Reliability of data available on equipment cost, Coulson and Richardsons Chemical Engineering Volume 6. The course will be useful to chemical or mechanical engineers who wish to work as scheduling and cost estimation engineer executing EPC of process plants. As stated, the debt financing involves the issuing of bonds. WARNING This software should be used for educational purposes only! Dewar, John. This course attempts to give a guided path and method to the cost estimation engineer to define the scope of work , estimate the man-hour cost and submit the bid in a reliable approach.. Once requirements for onsite steam and electricity are determined, more detailed design can be done. Especially in cases involving handling solids, OSBL costs can be as high as 100% of the ISBL cost. By leaving many aspects of the plant unspecified, the error grows dramatically. 0000011469 00000 n
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Contingency charges exist though because prices change, unanticipated costs arise, and other unexpected events can cause changes in costs. The closer the date of the estimate made from the date of indices published, estimate is more reliable. Towler G, Sinnott R. Capital Cost Estimating. Preliminary Estimates. Chemical Engineering Economics. At the time, Dow Chemical Co. had annual sales of over 57 billion USD and produced over 5000 products in varying sectors. Contingency charges ensure that there is enough capital on hand to deal with these unexpected changes. It is also different from the costs of feedstocks and utilities that are paid during normal operations of the plant. . Some processes require nonstandard components that HYSYS has no way of modeling correctly and for which ICARUS has no appropriate equipment category. Simply stated: The objective for any plant is to maximize the working capital turnover. Cost Estimation using Factorial Method - Chemical Engineering Portal A simple example of unique characteristic that affects the size of working capital is the seasonality of a product. Before the chemical plants can be built, capital cost estimates must be made. In addition, bonds can have a variety of different payback times and interest rates. chemical-engineering-plant-cost-index 1/3 Downloaded from odl.it.utsa.edu on November 7, 2022 by guest Chemical Engineering Plant Cost Index . An absolute minimum for contingency charges is 10% of the ISBL and OSBL, with a more realistic value being closer to 40%. Mapping equipment from process simulations to ICARUS can simplify design or map dummy equipment that is not real process equipment. 0000001677 00000 n
Both give capital in order to obtain equity in the company. The project financing for Sadara Chemical Company began in 2011 with the issuance of a sukuk, which often referred to as Islamic bonds. Several computer tools by Aspen Tech are available for estimating capital costs. Cost of plant construction will differ based on: It is common to convert cost of construction to locations other than the U.S. Gulf Coast by applying a location factor around the U.S. Gulf Coast in which: Location Factors fluctuate with currency exchange rates and time. : MILBANK TWEED HADLEY & MCCLOY LLP, Sept. 2013. Cost estimation is perhaps the most common application (e.g., see (Dean 1976, Daschbach and Apgar 1988, Farineau, et al. PDF Determining Manufacturing Costs - University of Utah GENERAL PROCESS PLANT COST ESTIMATING, Kolmetz Handbook of Process Cost estimation: fuels, electricity, waste treatment Plot of $/GJ from 1970 through 2006 for natural gas, gasoline, fuel oils, wood & solid wastes, coal and nuclear. For new sites, the OSBL costs are often estimated as a higher percentage of the ISBL due to a greater need for remediation. Ever wonder what really goes into estimating the cost of a world scale chemical production facility? It couples with Aspen Economic Evaluation to provide capital evaluations during process design and operation. Pahrump: Cost Data On Line, Inc.; c2008- [cited 2015 Feb 26]. Pressure vessels are costed exactly according to ASME Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code Section VIII Division 1. It is important and relatively straightforward to obtain an estimate for the ISBL of the plant, and as other costs are often estimated based on the result of the ISBL, it is critical that this value is as accurate as possible. Another suggested estimation of working capital is 10-20% of annual operating costs (Garrett). A rule of thumb is to that every 1000 miles away from the nearest major industrial center adds 10% to the location factor. Costs shown on the EQUIPMENT LIST are updated with the index provided. Sadara Chemical Company is planning full-scale production in mid-2016 (Fletcher). Raw materials, products and energy prices, labor and construction costs change at different rates, and plant construction cost indexes are actually a composite, able to compare generic chemical plants capital costs. Capital cost estimates for chemical process plants are usually based on purchase cost estimation for major equipment items. Process Eng. Sadara Project Sukuk: Heralding a New Era? Detailed Estimates. TJ$o,&1LE\sgEG*Fc&~5'8F`j"T*be(Ep5hAyA7|,;ey@{`!TpfJY_vwHu4i*b]:`8AB(ApHDgzr2^q@4 78 29
Two of the companies that corroborated in this financing project were Dow Chemical and Saudi Aramco. C_e = purchased equipment on a U.S. Gulf Coast basis. As stated, the return on equity is a comparison of net annual profit and stockholder's equity. The working capital is a distinct cost associated with maintaining operations in a plant (Towler). During times of low sales, they could sell bonds, and during times of high sales, they could pay back bonds. There is . IxaIUy!=z9RDqn"3
Both of these should be used as initial estimates, but further analysis of the aforementioned factors will yield a more useful value for working capital. Mergers and takeovers can occur when one company assumes majority ownership of another company. OSBL (Outside Battery Limits) Plant Costs, Example of Project Financing: Sadara Integrated Chemicals Project, Accuracy and purpose of Capital Cost Estimates, Estimating Installed Costs: The Factorial Method, http://www.icoste.org/Book_Reviews/CFM-Info.pdf, https://processdesign.mccormick.northwestern.edu/index.php?title=Estimation_of_capital&oldid=4573. 0000003406 00000 n
Towler gives the following equation to estimate the new design cost based on values which can be found in Towler and Sinnott (2013) Table 7.1: S = size parameters, based on existing plants. When more detail has been acquired, installation factor are more rigorously estimated. Usually, specialized suppliers install the entire utilities system, or the entire fencing system, or provide the entire firefighting service, so many of the components of OSBL capital costs are simply negotiated with contractors. Accuracy and the reliability of the estimate will heavily depend on the availability of the data and the level of the design at the time. The method presented by Lang was based on study of fourteen (14) plant estimates of various sizes and types. The next aspect of equity financing for Sadara Chemical Company will happen in 2016, when it is scheduled for Sadara to be traded publicly after an IPO. Currently, Sadara Chemical Company is evaluated at about 20 billion USD, and Saudi Aramco has 65% ownership and Dow Chemical Company has 35% ownership (Fletcher). The default values are Jan. 2002 and CE index = 390.4 (the basis for the calculated costs). For this reason, a number of tools have been developed to produce capital cost estimates at relatively early phases of plant construction including order of magnitude estimates, cost curve calculations, and more detailed costing of designed process equipment and other ancillary buildings and equipment. Because of the magnitude of costs associated with the start-up and maintenance of a chemical plant, there are often different project financing methods required to cover the capital needs. Once costs are determined, if one could instantaneously construct the plant, then there would be no need for contingency charges. Appendix D: Capital Cost Guidelines - Wiley Online Library To get the best estimate, each job should be broken down into its components and separate indices should be used for labor and materials. Chemical Plant Cost Estimation - Cheresources.com Community The guideline FOB cost is in US $ for a value of the Chemical Engineering Index (1957-59 = 100), CEPCI Index = 1000. . But there are several degrees of capital cost accuracy between those studies. There are many aspects of plant operation that are considered when making an estimation for how much working capital is needed. The Total Installed Cost estimate was obtained by multiplying the equipment cost (purchase cost) by appropriate factors. Cost estimation is a method base that basis its calculation from historical data. The Cost-to-Capacity Method and Scale Factors - evcValuation The following terminology is associated with cost estimates and risk. However, most companies utilize a combination of these two methods to successfully finance a project. office (405) 340-2673 fax (866) 583-3035 toll-free (800) 525-6277. This article by K.M. What can I do to convert dolars to Rs? A composite index for the United States process plant industry is published in the journal Chemical Engineering. New York: McGraw-Hill; 2002. A company could release short term bonds in order to make the stream of revenue more consistent. Capital Cost Estimator is a software that estimates Capital and Operating Costs for a Chemical Processing Plant based on data from the currently active flowsheet. The purpose of this thesis is to improve the 'art' of early capital cost estimation of chemical process plants. They do not fully represent the true costs for any particular piece of equipment or plant, nor the effect of supply and demand on prices. If the working capital is too high, it can be considered cash that is not gaining interest or value. . For this reason, the cost associated with process equipment is not as straightforward as the sticker price. Capital Cost Estimation Dr. M. Subramanian Associate Professor . AE%-V'b9H5{u-Z'o- ? h[Sevvvvv8D8n&CH
5I1Db%0QiDKv=g'|MJ3i4 Matches provides 275 process equipment conceptual capital costs estimates. Cost Estimation in Chemical Engineering | SciTech Connect 5th ed. But it must be noted that for chemical plants of different processes, the individual factors that affect working capital can have large variance, and the aforementioned estimate will not work well for all situations. There are also other indices for building the plants offsite. Lang proposed capital cost equipment by given equation: C is the total capital cost, F is the installation factor also known as Lang factor, and C_e is the cost of major equipment. Plant Costs Estimation. The Association for the Advancement of Cost Estimating International (AACE International) classifies five types of estimates of capital cost. The capital costs associated with purchasing, building, and starting up any chemical plant can be estimated with methods discussed in previous and later sections. The working capital turnover is a metric that is used to determine how efficiently the working capital is managed. The other extreme is utilizing an existing, underused site with no solids handling requirement, when fabricating a low-volume specialty chemical. hKoFs\qO>Hriu7(K%}VM`|of;|NHT!SB):1y.'T@8dx,pZ`
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Total Installed Cost = Total Equipment Cost (Purchase Cost) x f The three factors (f) for each type of plant being: Solid process plant = 3.10 Solid-fluid process plant = 3.63 Fluid process plant = 4.74 This cost includes design, site remediation, purchasing process equipment, developing infrastructure, and contingency charges, and includes the raw material costs as well as labor. Analysis, Synthesis and Design of Chemical Processes (Turton) Plant Design and Economics for Chemical Engineers (Peters) 0000006410 00000 n
Project Management for Construction: Cost Estimation Many variations of the factorial method exist as different assumptions can be made which will determine the rigorousness and the accuracy of the estimate. Material factor, however, does not linearly scale with the installation factor since the transportation cost, labor cost, and fabricators cost does not scale with the material of the equipment. The expected return is a combination of the dividends the company pays and the growth of the company's stock price. He identified three process plant types, which are solid processing plant, fluids processing plant, and mixed fluids-solids processing plant. This type requires data such as preliminary material and energy balances and major equipment items. (1030%) Improved estimation with incorporation of more equipment detail. 0000008240 00000 n
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The total cost is determined by multiplying the total purchased cost for all the major items of equipment by a constant. I believe that capital cost estimation is more art than science. In addition, the magnitude of the project gained worldwide recognition. Costdataonline.com. Web. The fixed capital investment is the total cost associated with constructing the plant. This is the most useful measure for the economic evaluation of capital needed for projects. and Plant Design Challenge Link . 0000010933 00000 n
Download Chemical Plant Cost Estimation 5 Votes 12 Ever wonder what really goes into estimating the cost of a world scale chemical production facility? This value is an interest rate that is the effective rate at which all of the capital is raised. As stated, the debt ratio is a comparison of the total debt and total assets of the company. Adding these libraries allows use of the costing software for cost estimates. Cost Estimation | Chemical Engineering Portal The data and information within the software has been obtained from a wide variety of literature sources. The default values are Jan. 2002 and CE index = 390.4 (the basis for the calculated costs). These facilities and pieces of equipment are not directly affiliated with the process but are critical costs associated with constructing any work site, and are filed under OSBL cost. The buyer is also known as a creditor, and has priority over a stockholder in the event of a bankruptcy in the company. (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); thanks but I did not understand what the Rs means in the excel file ? The values above should be used as a guide only. Hello everyone! 78 0 obj
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estimation method. However, the boundaries between the classification are not clear-cut, and considerable judgment is required in the selection of appropriate factors. Capital cost estimates are required in the early business planning and feasibility assessment stages of a project, in order to evaluate viability and to compare the economics of the alternative processes and operating conditions that are under consideration for the plant. GENERAL PROCESS PLANT COST ESTIMATING, Kolmetz Handbook of Process For capital cost estimation: FOB equipment cost increases . This will correspond to down time for the process and decreased production and decreased revenues. Base estimate. Preparation for Plant Design Job, is your chance to uncover the truth about chemical process engineering and plant design jobs. This should be kept in mind when utilizing cost estimates to perform economic analysis of the chemical process. In 2013, one of the largest financing projects in the chemicals industry occurred in the petrochemical sector. Knowledge of major pieces of equipment Accuracy: 30% 3. Extrapolate similar plant cost Accuracy: over 30% 2. vast, comprehensive tabulation of estimating cost data presented in the March 24, 1969 issue of Chemical Engineering magazine. A process that appears viable but has 50% error associated with capital costs, may quickly become undesirable as the project evolves. This page has been accessed 191,788 times. Part I (April 2021, pp. One of the most important aspects of determining the overall economic viability of a chemical process is determining the capital cost. Risk. However, this can lead to rapid changes in utility costs and the engineer should be aware of scope creep, as it can quickly change a viable process into an economically undesirable one. development and use of a cost-estimating method. 0
For companies with large debt ratios, the interest that is deducted from earnings will be large because of the large amount of debt carried. Engineering, Procurement, and Construction (Contractors) companies, Cost engineering department (common in large companies), Estimate total cost based on cost of components. A method for estimating the capital cost of chemical process plants where is the cost of capital, is the debt ratio, is the interest at which bonds are issued, and is the cost of equity.
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